If only…
I got some emails today that set off alarm bells. In California, Governor Hairgel has put a deceptive ballot measure called Prop 50 on the November Ballot. He is calling it the anti-Election rigging measure, when it will do just that. It disbands the citizens redistricting commission and adopts maps drawn by political consultant Paul Mitchell whose wife is the head baby killer of Planner Parenthood in CA. (The Title is my editorialization)
The campaign and the title and summary is a literal 180 from what the measure actually is. Enter Dave Gilliard (a consultant himself) and Jim Lacy (also a consultant). Both are known conservatives and they did some of the best work I have seen on this measure.
Orange County, CA – – Today, the United States Justice Foundation released the results of two polls on the prospects of Proposition 50. The polls, conducted by Harper Polling, give one of the first independent looks at the special election slated for November 4th, 2025. Both polls were conducted in the last week. In addition to testing Prop 50 the survey tested whether a measure should be proposed to return directly to the independent redistricting commission after the 2026 election.
As some of you know, Lacy sells some of those “slate cards” that fill your inbox with junk mail come election time. Lacy, however will never take money from a tax measure. This distinguishes his “Taxifornia” and “Jarvis” slates from many other so-called Republican slates that will. So the man has street cred. Gillard has always been personally a right winger.
I decided to lift the stats off of the poll. They are staggering and need to be read and re-read.
• Six-in-ten voters support using an independent commission to draw the congressional district maps (61% support, 20% oppose) with 42% saying they strongly support the independent commission.
• A plurality of Republicans (43-32%) and three quarters of Democrats (74-11%) and more than half of Independent voters (58-26%) support the independent commission.
• 49% oppose authorizing the state legislature to draw the congressional district maps (40% support).
• When contextualized as an effort by Governor Newsom in response to Republican-led redistricting efforts in Texas, Newsom’s proposal reaches 52% support.
• Testing the Proposition 50 language, we find support at 54% Yes and 29% No, while 17% areundecided.
• 15% of voters who oppose Newsom’s contextualized efforts mistakenly vote Yes on Proposition 50,highlighting voter confusion related to the ballot language.
• 48% of voters would support a ballot measure to return to the original congressional district map in 2028, when Trump is out of office. Only 29% oppose.
• When highlighting corruption concerns about powerful politicians drawing themselves custom congressional districts, the ballot narrows considerably to 45% Yes, 40% No.
• Arnold Schwarzenegger’s image is in a strong spot at 49% favorable, 27% unfavorable. His imageis positive across partisan and ideological lines.
• When pitting Schwarzenegger’s argument (41%), as the original proponent of the independent commission, against Newsom’s (47%), Democrats are nearly twice as likely to back Schwarzenegger (16%) as Republicans are to Newsom (9%), while Independents side with Schwarzenegger by a 6-point margin.
Sooo, California Republicans and Trump lose. Arnold has a chance of winning. Oh and turn the lie around or everyone will lose.
“The surveys are clear; voters want politics out of redistricting. What they don’t agree on is how that should be accomplished. Defeating Newsom’s plan will take a targeted and aggressive effort that exposes the corruption involved in the drawing of these maps. By a wide margin, voters in California would support returning to the independent commission’s districts in 2028, when Trump and Newsom will both be on their way out of office,” said veteran political consultant Dave Gilliard.
Jim Lacy, founder of the United States Justice Foundation, commented on the findings, stating, “The initial ballot shows a lead for Prop 50 because the Governor has shaped the election as a California Governor Gavin Newsom vs. President Donald Trump and that distinction gives the ballot an edge.
Then enter my buddy James Gallagher that should have read the above before the “Two State Solution” and the latest:
Gallagher Launches Campaign to Defeat Prop 50
Grassroots Coalition Says ‘No Rigged Maps’
YUBA CITY, CA – Today, Assembly Republican Leader James Gallagher (R-Nicolaus) announced the launch of a new grassroots-based campaign to defeat Proposition 50 on the November 4th Special Election.
I get why James is doing this. I disagree with the approach. Let me lay it out simply. Despite the fact that Politico ran an article about how Bill Essayli and Richard Grennell screwed James out of becoming a Trump appointed US Atty in the North of CA, launching a formal Republican effort plays in to Newsom’s strategy of making the campaign of deception about Donald Trump. In my opinion, James should have thrown in with the main McCarthy backed effort to derail this.
“With politicians in control, district maps are drawn to protect their own power, not the people they represent. California voters took that power away from the politicians for a reason—and we can’t let them take it back,” said Gallagher.
Gallagher notes that if Newsom is successful in passing Proposition 50, California may retain only 4 Republican members of Congress after the 2026 election – representing a mere 7% of the Golden State’s congressional representation.
“In the last two statewide elections, roughly 40% of California voters supported a Republican at the top of the ticket. Newsom’s plan to strip our representation in California is corrupt. It’s anti-democratic. And it’s insulting,” Gallagher added. “We will absolutely stop him on November 4th. The fate of our nation depends on it.”
The NoRiggedMaps.com website is the first publicly available resource for everyday Californians to view statistical descriptions of the rigged maps being promoted by Newsom. It features opportunities for community members to become educated and get involved in the effort to defeat Prop 50.
Biggest takeaway of the blog entry:
“• 15% of voters who oppose Newsom’s contextualized efforts mistakenly vote Yes on Proposition 50, highlighting voter confusion related to the ballot language.”
This is THE problem for ALL yes/no issues. Language is purposely chosen to confuse the voters. The real effort to stop this madness lies with public outreach and education.
If you are wondering why the ballot issue doesn’t just ask “Should we disband redistricting committee? Yes/No?”, look no further than those who draft the language.
Gallagher has shot himself in the foot with the two-state nonsense. I bet he’d be against it if Republicans were in the supermajority. Two-state solution has bad connotations, and he knows it. Blogger hints at why Gallagher (and others) are bringing this up as a solution. Newsom needs Trump. Without Trump he has nothing to motivate his base (like many fake news channels).
I agree that our biggest problem is the language purposely used in wording the Prop on the ballot. It is purposely written to confuse the voter. Does yes mean no or no mean yes.
You may remember prop 6, the gas tax bill. The way it was written most voters had no idea that it was the gas tax prop they were voting on. You have no idea how many people said to me after the voting took place, “I thought we were going to get to vote on the gas tax”. I couldn’t believe that they just didn’t get it, no matter how much we said vote NO on Prop 6 if you are against the gas tax. They only read the wording on the ballot and thought they should vote yes by the language that was contained to confuse the voter on what way to vote on the ballot. Gas tax was never mentioned in the written language of Prop 6 on the ballot.
The same thing is going to happen again if we don’t really campaign and educate the voters to just vote NO on Prop 50. Disregard how they write it up. Because then they will have the, especially uniformed, voters confused as to which way they should vote for what they would like their desired outcome of Prop 50 to be.
The Assembly candidate listed as a co-chair is a self serving, self aggrandizing moron.
food for thought……..lol
https://apis.mail.yahoo.com/ws/v3/mailboxes/@.id==VjN-pcZfdSwdUpn6f6elJnzgR7vzbJieJ1q7IklFZKWzLF9GQXu6P8KhpqEoNN1l5aax4QS589m2ULn4HOf3kMCF_g/messages/@.id==ACJnKc2pMYFgEh-QYXIbJqB_Hww/content/parts/@.id==2/thumbnail?appid=YMailNorrin
gotta luv this stuff…………
As to Mr. gallagher?? pfffffftttttttttttttttt
2 State solution? Seriously? RUSH would be chafing in his skin……….
Leo Naranjo IV on X………….yes, I shot back at the 2-state solution Mr. Gallagher proposed, twice……since, he doubled down on stupid.
Ah well………..CRA GOP convention coming to a town near you!!
I don’t know Leo, Never been very fond of Gallagher, he is part of the Burney Bunch (David Stafford Reade & crew), but I do respect him. Watched him rise in the ranks for a long time from his days on the Yuba City Counsel.
A splitting California is not a bad idea…the state in nearly un-governable now. Too big, too many people, and many foolish big coastal cities. There are two different cultures in this state, the inland working middle class and farmers. And the wealthy liberal city slickers and costal residents.
It may be a dream…but a nice dream. I am sure many in New York State would love to split their state too… break away from the nonsense of New York City.
But for now we have to live with the residents of foolish costal California. Both within the Republican Party and those not in the Republican Party.